why are transitions to democracy so violence prone

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Analysis Paper

🌐 general things:

– no longer than 3 double-spaced pages. Paper should be 12 pt type, with one inch margins.no longer than 3 double-spaced pages each. Paper should be 12 pt type, with one inch margins.

– all conventions of attribution and notation. Quotes and paraphrasing must be explicitly cited. Memos found to include plagiarized material will be given an automatic “zero” and no make-up paper will be allowed.

– General advice for the paper:
§Don’t Include language like “According to Milner in Interests, Institutions, and Information

§ Don’t include Floating quotes (usually don’t quote at all)

§ don’t explicitly mention game theory. “Now I will use game theory to analyze this event.”

§ don’t rhetorically ask questions (“Why is suicide terrorism so successful?”)

🌐 The Readings:

1, Lars-Erik Cederman, Simon Hug & Lutz Krebs, “Democratization and Civil War: Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Peace Research, July 2010.


2. Case: “The Authoritarian Resurgence: Saudi Arabia’s Anxious Autocrats,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, April 15, 2015.


🌐 Assignment Questions:

  • You are advisor to the President of the United States. You have read all the literature on the democratic peace and must decide whether the President should try to encourage our least democratic ally (Saudi Arabia) to democratize. You must now decide whether to allow the House of Saud to continue as is, or to put pressure on the regime to pursue significant political reform designed to democratize the country? What policy would you pursue and why?

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